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Is Your Market Growing or Shrinking?

Permit volume drives contractor revenue. Select your state and trade to see year-over-year trends, competitor density, seasonal patterns, and what it all means for your bottom line.

Real permit data

Year-over-year permit trends from 409 million building permits (2018-2024) and competitive density from 365,584 specialty trade contractors. Every number comes from national property records and company data.

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Moderate Risk

Texas HVAC Market

1.5M

2023 permits

1.0M

2024 permits

-33.3%

YoY change

$321.8B

Total 2023 value

Competitive density

Total trades companies ($1-25M)34,454

HVAC/Plumb/Elec in ICP4,352

Avg company age22 years

Contractors per 1K permits33.8

HVAC job values in Texas

Median job value$12,884

Top 25% job value$109,833

Active HVAC contractors3,500

National HVAC seasonality (2023 permits)

Peak months = when cash flow forecasting matters most

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

What this means for your business

Permit volume in Texas fell 33.3% year-over-year. The construction boom is cooling. At 34,454 competitors in your state, the math is straightforward: same number of contractors, fewer jobs. The companies that know their real margins and manage cash flow weekly will take share from those running on gut feel.

What's happening in your market?

We analyze permit trends, competitor density, and growth signals for your trade. Free audit included.

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The $3M revenue threshold

Permit data from national property records covering 409M permits (2018-2024). Competitor counts from company data (494M company locations) filtered to NAICS 238x specialty trade contractors in the $1-25M revenue range. 2024 figures may reflect partial-year data due to reporting lag.